Tuesday, December 8, 2020

Response and Recvovery

Let's address the elephant in the room shall we. 
Covid-19
The Response and the Treatments.  

1.  Treatments and Medications.
                I have never and will never give recommendations in that regard because I am not experienced enough to do so.   My advice was always to listen to your medical professionals.   


2 .  "Treat it Like the Flu"
        I made a statement early in the pandemic that individuals should treat it like the flu
        A narrative adopted by the current administration but in an effort to downplay the threat.
        In that regard I was referring to not going to work or social gatherings and seeking medical attentions
       One of the downsides of this thinking, in hindsight, comes from many people having little regard for the health of others and continuing about their normal business.   The other issue of this comes from people not having enough to stay home in the initial days.  Not having the financial stability and continuing forward because they needed to.  

3.  Masks and Masking
        The mask and mask mandates were meant to help lessen the spread of the virus. 
        The science behind this is simple, it keeps individuals from coughing on each other and spreading things further.  When  faced with a disease that attacks the raspatory systems and is spread through simply breathing.   
        Masking and Mask mandates were, and are, meant to be supplemental to more common and wide spread practices like handwashing and other things. 
            

4. Lockdowns
        It was originally projected that there would be a large scale economic impact if Lockdowns were found necessary  to implement.  This measure was to be implemented to alleviate the hospital flooding caused by a highly infectious disease running rampant through communities. 
The impact of which would fundamentally change the structure of our economy. 
 In the original papers and recommendations that I wrote back in 2016 concerning these impacts I recommended shifting the focus of economic into a number of sectors to facilitate an economic "reboot" to so speak.


                          -  Economic Recovery Plans - 
            -Reinforcing, Updating, and expanding digital communications networks : The focus of this was to create a safe and secure network for primary education and easier pathways for secondary education.
            -Expansion of EMS and Medical staffing and support -   This focus was to create a model for telemedicine and the return to at home health care.
            - Logistical Restructuring  -  "A return to eggs and milk"  back in the early days of suburbia milk and eggs were essentially a subscription service.  And a return to this focus to create an industrial de-evolution and to rebuild food delivery services as a standard rather than an exception. As currently these services are only offered to homebound individuals.   
            - The Neighborhood Grocer - This focus was to reduce the "Food Desert" issue and facilitate delivery of fresh produce and supplies. One of the great losses to "super centers" and many zoning laws that were developed during the early parts of the 19th century were originally developed to separate people along racial lines, after that zoning laws were used to create economic holds on communities by larger corporations and businesses. 
            -The New Minimum Wage - While the economy is essentially in shut down the plan was to examine what constitutes essential work and standards for living and update the minimum wage to reflect the needs and necessities to participate in a modern economy. 
            -Recycling - The focus of  recycling would be on building recycling centers meant to process garbage from the ground up, to sort and distribute it to it's utmost effectiveness and create as close to a zero waste economy as possible.  

5. The Defense Production Act - 
        Using the Defense Production Act to rebuild and modify production facilities to create a more stable supply / production line for PPE and other necessary items for the treatment of the disease.  Specifically items that can/could be used to 

5. Waiting for a Vaccine. 
        During original projections of a vaccine manufacturing the time projections were a at a minimum a year for safe development.   This short of a time span largely based on having such a world wide epidemic and infectious disease would see the pouring in of resources and assistance in the process of developing one.  And, such is the case of Covid-19, being a mutation of a virus that a vaccine already existed for.   On the long side I saw about three years if a vaccine for a completely new virus strain had to be developed from scratch and learning how to live in the "new normal" and learning from the lessons and missteps from this disease so that the pandemic protocols would be built into the very fabric of modern society to prevent such large scale outbreaks in the future.

6. Distribution. 
        Once a safe vaccine was found the largest question would be "who get's it first?"   
            Prioritization, in my opinion, beginning in the hardest hit communities, should be as follows.
                Treatment facilities
                EMS
                Healthcare and Aid Workers *
                 Essential Workers in direct contact with the public
                Essential Workers in logistics and distribution
                Primary Education workers.
               From there, as distribution allows. 

Arguably, by the time supply and manufacturing hits the point of being able to treat healthcare and aid workers on a national scale it would be to the point of working out the kinks in logistics to provide on a scale necessary to cover the larger population. 
 Once the pandemic was brought back under control and vaccine availability becoming a choice rather than a necessity.
    I do not agree with anti-vaccination sentiments but I do understand cultural hesitations in regards to large scale governmental deployments of medical programs. 

Good luck and Stay Safe.